跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Next French Presidential ElectionSarah Knafo1.8%Sébastien Lecornu1.4%Gérald Darmanin0.2%
Highest temperature in Paris on August 16?30°C0%31°C99.8%32°C0.1%Highest temperature in Paris on August 17?29°C60.5%28°C33.5%27°C3.5%Lowest temperature in Paris on August 17?18°C1.5%19°C39.5%17°C1.5%Lowest temperature in Paris on August 16?20°C99.5%19°C0%22°C0%
Socialist Party of France Presidential NomineeRaphael Glucksmann48%Boris Vallaud23%Segolene Royal5.4%Highest temperature in Paris on August 18?27°C42.5%29°C8.5%35°C or higher0%
European military action against Iran by...?August 310.6%July 310%Lowest temperature in Paris on August 18?24°C0%25°C or higher0%19°C9.5%2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Marine Tondelier25%Gabriel Attal31.5%Jérôme Guedj10%French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?François Hollande34.5%Sébastien Lecornu13%Carole Delga12%Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%Ségolène Royal1.1%François Ruffin2.2%
Macron out by...?December 31, 20264.8%December 31, 20250%July 31, 20260%
France United Left Primary WinnerCanceled93.6%Placeholder T—%Other—%
Lecornu out as French PM by...?September 30, 20262.6%August 31, 20260.8%November 300%
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?87.5%市场概率
French election called by...?December 31, 20267.5%November 30, 20250%December 31, 20250%
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?16.5%市场概率
Next President of the National Rally in 2026?Placeholder 150%Placeholder 250%Placeholder 2250%
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?April 17, 202714.1%December 31, 20265.5%
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?December 313.6%March 319.5%July 310%
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?97.1%市场概率
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?89.5%市场概率
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?July 310%October 312.9%