跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceX60.5%Anthropic38.2%OpenAI0.2%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14August 3111.5%Chopsticks catch Starship?21.5%September 3093.5%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?September 30, 20266.7%June 30, 202731.5%February 28, 202722.5%
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?$600-$700B12%$800-$900B33.5%$1.10T+6.4%
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?<132.6%1539.5%16+3.3%
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?<534.5%15-160.2%7-87.7%
Grok 5 released by...?December 3149.5%August 310.6%August 150%
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?December 31, 202635.5%August 31, 20262.4%June 30, 202776%
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?5.5%市场概率
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?14%市场概率
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Elon Musk97.7%Person I—%Person H—%
Another Elon baby by December 31?17.5%市场概率
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?December 31, 202760.5%December 31, 202611.5%Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?August 31, 202658%September 30, 202651.5%October 31, 202660.5%
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?93.8%市场概率
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?December 3113.5%June 300%SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?5.2%市场概率
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?73%市场概率
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?19%市场概率
Elon Bull Run Parlay6.8%市场概率3rd richest person on December 31?Person B—%Person L—%Person D—%
AI data center in space by...?December 31, 202724.5%December 31, 20262.2%
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?13.5%市场概率
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?6.5%市场概率—
