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Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?18.5%市场概率$17.4k Vol1月3日 截止Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?27%市场概率$1.2k Vol12月31日 截止Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Republican Party47.5%Democratic Party52.5%Other—%$1k Vol11月3日 截止CA-14 Special Election Winner?Carin Elam0.1%Aisha Wahab84.5%Melissa Hernandez14.9%$841 Vol8月18日 截止Which bills will become law in 2026?FISA Section 702 reauthorization21%Export-control chip security53.5%Smithsonian Women’s History Museum6.3%$510 Vol12月31日 截止Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?November 216%June 300%$449 Vol12月31日 截止Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Kirsten Gillibrand31%Catherine Cortez Masto13%Thom Tillis44%$352 Vol1月1日 截止How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?381%00%>43.7%$125 VolBlue wave in 2026?77.5%市场概率$121 Vol11月30日 截止Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?≤4725.5%4913.5%57+0.9%$119 Vol11月3日 截止How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?7-911.9%10-1246%4-60.4%$91 Vol2026 Midterms: House Turnout120-125m27%Other—%95-100m2.8%$76 Vol11月3日 截止How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?24–2739%20–2344.5%<205.2%$48 Vol8月31日 截止How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary? 30.1%078.5%40.8%$23 VolLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?13%市场概率$21 Vol6月30日 截止How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?777%81.4%12+0.3%$10 Vol8月31日 截止How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Above 5035%Above 5536%Above 667%$8 Vol1月1日 截止Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?79.5%市场概率$5 Vol9月30日 截止Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?61.5%市场概率$4 Vol1月20日 截止How many Republican House members not running in 2026?<242.9%32–351.1%28–310.7%$4 Vol8月31日 截止Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?3.4%市场概率$172.4k Vol11月3日 截止Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?September 306%July 300%December 3124.5%$4.4k Vol12月31日 截止Will Congress override any veto in 2026?6.9%市场概率$14.7k Vol12月31日 截止Government shutdown by October 1?16.5%市场概率$6.7k Vol10月2日 截止

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