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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
所有盘口
24h 热门
总成交量
流动性
最新
即将截止
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
60.5%
Anthropic
38.3%
OpenAI
0.2%
$20.7k Vol
12月31日 截止
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
5
0.3%
1
69.5%
3
2%
$5.9k Vol
12月31日 截止
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
October 1 - 31, 2026
32.5%
September 1 - 14, 2026
24.5%
Does not return by November 1, 2026
23%
$4.1k Vol
11月1日 截止
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑4k
84%
↑3k
93.5%
↑10k
5.7%
$1.3k Vol
12月31日 截止
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
August 27 to August 31, 2026
37%
No Atlantic hurricane will form in August 2026
56%
August 13 to August 16, 2026
0.5%
$1.2k Vol
9月1日 截止
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
0.7%
市场概率
$1.1k Vol
12月31日 截止
New pandemic before 2028?
17%
市场概率
$839 Vol
1月1日 截止
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
8–10
0.5%
17–19
36.5%
11–13
9.5%
$283 Vol
12月31日 截止
New pandemic in 2026?
5.5%
市场概率
$250 Vol
12月31日 截止
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Edouard
20%
Fay
23%
Dolly
41.5%
$233 Vol
12月2日 截止
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
34.5%
7-8
8.3%
5-6
55%
$199 Vol
12月31日 截止
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
5.4%
市场概率
$182 Vol
12月31日 截止
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
4.5%
市场概率
$141 Vol
12月31日 截止
Natural Disaster in 2026?
22.5%
市场概率
$117 Vol
12月31日 截止
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
Does not return by November 1, 2026
15.5%
October 1 - 31, 2026
32.5%
Before September 1, 2026
0.9%
$82 Vol
11月1日 截止
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6.8%
市场概率
$61 Vol
12月31日 截止
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
81%
市场概率
$40 Vol
10月1日 截止
Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?
New York (NYISO)
25.5%
Texas (ERCOT)
43.5%
New England (ISO-NE)
41.5%
$20 Vol
10月1日 截止
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6.3%
市场概率
$16 Vol
3月31日 截止
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1
19.5%
3
0.9%
4
0.8%
$7 Vol
3月31日 截止
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
16.5%
市场概率
$340.1k Vol
12月31日 截止
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
73.5%
市场概率
$870 Vol
12月31日 截止
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
12%
市场概率
$139.3k Vol
12月31日 截止
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
46%
October 31
45%
December 31
42.5%
$1.4k Vol
1月1日 截止
展示更多盘口
2
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50%
3
ZCash Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50%
4
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50.5%
5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50.5%
6
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50.5%