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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
所有盘口
24h 热门
总成交量
流动性
最新
即将截止
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
>13
99.9%
13
0%
12
0.1%
$12.3k Vol
8月17日 截止
What will the White River at Indianapolis peak at during the August 2026 floods?
Over 20 ft
83%
17–20 ft
15.5%
Under 14 ft
0.3%
$5k Vol
9月1日 截止
Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?
1.1%
市场概率
$4.8k Vol
8月19日 截止
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
8.5%
市场概率
$2.5k Vol
1月1日 截止
Where will a 6.0+ earthquake occur by end of August?
Indonesia
99.6%
Philippines
28.5%
United States
17%
$1.5k Vol
9月3日 截止
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
August 27 to August 31, 2026
37%
No Atlantic hurricane will form in August 2026
56%
August 13 to August 16, 2026
0.5%
$1.2k Vol
9月1日 截止
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
4.8-5m sq km
8.2%
<4m sq km
13%
4.0-4.2m sq km
14.4%
$657 Vol
10月1日 截止
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
≤6
21%
>13
19.5%
8
13%
$546 Vol
8月23日 截止
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Edouard
20%
Fay
23%
Dolly
41.5%
$233 Vol
12月2日 截止
Megaquake by August 31?
5.3%
市场概率
$187 Vol
8月31日 截止
Natural Disaster in 2026?
22.5%
市场概率
$117 Vol
12月31日 截止
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
1-3
45.5%
0
6.5%
7+
17.5%
$100 Vol
12月31日 截止
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
13.9%
市场概率
$56 Vol
1月1日 截止
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?
10.5%
市场概率
$40 Vol
9月1日 截止
Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?
New York (NYISO)
25.5%
New England (ISO-NE)
41.5%
California (CAISO)
42%
$20 Vol
10月1日 截止
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6.3%
市场概率
$16 Vol
3月31日 截止
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
8%
市场概率
$13 Vol
9月1日 截止
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?
26.5%
市场概率
$10 Vol
9月1日 截止
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
23.5%
市场概率
$6 Vol
1月1日 截止
Will Phoenix be under an Extreme Heat Warning for 10+ days in August 2026?
53.5%
市场概率
$80 Vol
9月1日 截止
Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?
≥105 mph
98.9%
≥90 mph
98.7%
≥85 mph
98%
$3.5k Vol
9月1日 截止
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
16.5%
市场概率
$340.1k Vol
12月31日 截止
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
97.1%
市场概率
$646 Vol
10月1日 截止
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
91.9%
市场概率
$5.5k Vol
4月1日 截止
展示更多盘口
2
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50%
3
ZCash Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50%
4
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50.5%
5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50.5%
6
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50.5%