跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Anthropic37.8%SpaceX61.5%OpenAI0.2%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14September 1567%August 3111%Chopsticks catch Starship?21.5%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?September 30, 20266.5%June 30, 202731.5%February 28, 202722.5%
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?$600-$700B11.5%$800-$900B33.5%$1.10T+6.2%
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?<132.7%16+3.3%1335%
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?<534.5%13-140.2%9-102.5%
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?December 31, 202635.5%June 30, 202776%August 31, 20262.4%
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?December 31, 202760.5%December 31, 202611.5%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?73.5%市场概率
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?5.2%市场概率
Elon Bull Run Parlay6.7%市场概率
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?June 300%December 3113.5%
AI data center in space by...?December 31, 20262.2%December 31, 202724.5%
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?6.5%市场概率
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?94%市场概率
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?August 31, 202650%October 31, 202660.5%September 30, 202651%Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club Corners: O/U 2.5
—