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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
所有盘口
24h 热门
总成交量
流动性
最新
即将截止
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Anthropic
37.8%
SpaceX
61.5%
OpenAI
0.2%
$16.7k Vol
12月31日 截止
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
5
0.3%
1
69.5%
3
2%
$5.9k Vol
12月31日 截止
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑4k
83.5%
↑3k
93.5%
↑10k
5.6%
$1.3k Vol
12月31日 截止
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
0.7%
市场概率
$1.1k Vol
12月31日 截止
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
8–10
0.5%
17–19
36.5%
11–13
9.5%
$283 Vol
12月31日 截止
New pandemic in 2026?
5.5%
市场概率
$250 Vol
12月31日 截止
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
34.5%
13-14
0.2%
>16
1%
$199 Vol
12月31日 截止
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
5.2%
市场概率
$182 Vol
12月31日 截止
Natural Disaster in 2026?
22.5%
市场概率
$117 Vol
12月31日 截止
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6.6%
市场概率
$61 Vol
12月31日 截止
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6.3%
市场概率
$16 Vol
3月31日 截止
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1
19.5%
0
71.5%
4
0.8%
$7 Vol
3月31日 截止
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
73.5%
市场概率
$870 Vol
12月31日 截止
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
December 31
49.5%
June 30
0%
August 30
25.5%
$4.7k Vol
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1200–1249
7.8%
<950
3.9%
1000–1049
0%
$81.7k Vol
1月10日 截止
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
3%
市场概率
$8.8k Vol
12月31日 截止
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
June 30
0%
October 31
46%
December 31
42.5%
$1.4k Vol
1月1日 截止
Human moon landing in 2026?
0.8%
市场概率
$1.9m Vol
12月31日 截止
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
16.5%
市场概率
$340.1k Vol
12月31日 截止
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
12%
市场概率
$139.3k Vol
12月31日 截止
Counter-Strike: STATE vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
Match Winner
65.5%
2
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
Match Winner
53%
3
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
50.5%
4
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
50.5%
5
Solana Up or Down - August 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
50.5%
6
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
50%