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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
所有盘口
24h 热门
总成交量
流动性
最新
即将截止
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
18.5%
市场概率
$17.5k Vol
1月3日 截止
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican Party
48.5%
Democratic Party
52.5%
Other
—%
$1.9k Vol
11月3日 截止
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
25.5%
51
12%
49
13.5%
$1.5k Vol
11月3日 截止
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
November 2
10%
June 30
0%
$499 Vol
12月31日 截止
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Mark Kelly
0.2%
Amy Klobuchar
0%
Chuck Schumer
39.5%
$377 Vol
1月3日 截止
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 2-4%
6.7%
Republicans 4-6%
0.9%
Democrats 8-10%
27%
$364 Vol
11月3日 截止
Which bills will become law in 2026?
FISA Section 702 reauthorization
20.5%
Smithsonian Women’s History Museum
6.3%
Trump Airport
7.6%
$292 Vol
12月31日 截止
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Kirsten Gillibrand
41.5%
Mike Lee
27.5%
Catherine Cortez Masto
11.5%
$254 Vol
1月1日 截止
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
44+
2.2%
36–39
82%
<24
1.3%
$208 Vol
8月31日 截止
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
26.5%
市场概率
$184 Vol
12月31日 截止
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
10-12
44.4%
7-9
11.9%
>15
1.6%
$151 Vol
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
3
80.4%
2
7.6%
0
0%
$132 Vol
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab
85%
Melissa Hernandez
13%
Matt Ortega
0.1%
$95 Vol
8月18日 截止
Blue wave in 2026?
76.5%
市场概率
$67 Vol
11月30日 截止
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Above 60
20.5%
Above 50
34%
Above 66
6.5%
$48 Vol
1月1日 截止
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
20–23
44.2%
24–27
37.5%
40+
0.7%
$41 Vol
8月31日 截止
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
3
0.1%
>4
2.5%
0
78.5%
$23 Vol
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
13%
市场概率
$21 Vol
6月30日 截止
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
7
77%
10
1.3%
5
3%
$10 Vol
8月31日 截止
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?
81%
市场概率
$5 Vol
9月30日 截止
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?
33.5%
市场概率
$5.2k Vol
12月31日 截止
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?
September 30
6%
December 31
25%
July 30
0%
$4.4k Vol
12月31日 截止
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?
6.9%
市场概率
$14.7k Vol
12月31日 截止
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
3.4%
市场概率
$172.4k Vol
11月3日 截止
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2
ZCash Up or Down - August 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
50%
3
BNB Up or Down - August 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
50.5%
4
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
50.5%
5
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
50%
6
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
50.5%