1 hr. ago

BoughtYes$19.50Avg 13.0¢

−$3.75

−19.2% Unrealized

White House desk: news 3h ago. Following at 12¢.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 4.6%Now10.5¢−2.5¢

13 hr. ago

BoughtNo$263.48Avg 91.4¢

+$6.74

+2.5% Unrealized

White House desk: news 4h ago. Following at 91¢.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?October 31Now93.7¢+2.3¢

21 hr. ago

BoughtYes$12.69Avg 9.0¢

+$0.28

+2.2% Unrealized

White House desk: news 2h ago. Following at 9¢.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?December 31Now9.2¢+0.2¢

1 day ago

BoughtYes$1.00Avg 20.0¢

−$0.18

−17.5% Unrealized

News 49 min ago, market moved 7 pts. Following at 20¢ should be fine.

How high will inflation get in 2026?Above 4.5%Now16.5¢−3.5¢

1 day ago

BoughtYes$239.12Avg 91.7¢

+$4.61

+1.9% Unrealized

News came out 103 min ago, and I followed at 89¢.

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?October 16Now93.5¢+1.7¢

1 day ago

BoughtNo$228.54Avg 74.0¢

−$7.72

−3.3% Unrealized

White House desk: news 67 min ago, market moved 3 pts. Following at 74¢.

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?December 31Now71.5¢−2.5¢

2 days ago

BoughtYes$255.38Avg 9.0¢

−$85.13

−33.3% Unrealized

White House desk: news 33 min ago. Following at 8¢.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?October 31Now6.0¢−3.0¢

2 days ago

BoughtNo$213.13Avg 94.0¢

+$3.40

+1.6% Unrealized

White House desk: news 20 min ago. Following at 94¢.

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?October 31Now95.5¢+1.5¢

2 days ago

BoughtYes$297.73Avg 26.0¢

−$5.73

−1.9% Unrealized

White House desk: news 25 min ago. Following at 26¢.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?December 31Now25.5¢−0.5¢

3 days ago

BoughtNo$276.92Avg 72.0¢

−$3.85

−1.3% Unrealized

White House desk: news 21h ago. Following at 72¢.

Michigan Senate Election WinnerMike Rogers (R)Now71.0¢−1.0¢

3 days ago

Bet on2 markets$334.18

−$68.51

−20.5% Total unrealized

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?, Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

4 days ago

BoughtYes$339.03Avg 6.7¢

−$123.67

−36.4% Unrealized

White House desk: news 19 min ago. Following at 6¢.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?October 31Now4.3¢−2.4¢

6 days ago

LostYes$503.60Avg 23.3¢

−$503.60

Settled

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Yulia NavalnayaResolvedNo

6 days ago

WonNo$432.77Avg 88.8¢

+$54.14

+12.5% Settled

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Sudan's Emergency Response RoomsResolvedNo

6 days ago

Bet on2 markets$936.37

−$449.46

−48% Settled

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

6 days ago

BoughtNo$263.39Avg 30.0¢

−$4.39

−1.6% Unrealized

White House desk: news 44 min ago. Following at 30¢.

Michigan Senate Election WinnerAbdul El-Sayed (D)Now29.5¢−0.5¢

CommentedNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms7 days ago

That Sudanese group is at 17%, higher than several of the nominees, and I think that price is a bit inflated.

7 days ago

BoughtNo$442.30Avg 67.0¢

−$29.71

−6.7% Unrealized

White House desk: news 2h ago. Following at 67¢.

Texas Senate Election WinnerKen Paxton (R)Now62.5¢−4.5¢

8 days ago

Bet on3 markets$1,714.78

−$46.96

−2.7% Total unrealized

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

9 days ago

LostNo$409.53Avg 48.6¢

−$409.53

Settled

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?October 31ResolvedYes