Markets

Labor

UUS economic state at the end of 2026?Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)73.5%▲1ppSoft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)21.5%▼2ppSlack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)1.9%▲0.4ppVol $981

JJOLTS Job Openings: September 20267.4M+31.5%▲2.5pp<6.8M20%▼6.5pp7.2M to 7.3M15.5%▼4.5pp5 holdingVol $309

OOctober Unemployment Rate4.2%36.5%4.1%29%▼0.5pp4.3%21.5%▼0.5ppVol $2

WWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?Yes9.3%▲0.8ppNo90.7%Vol $9,657

HHow high will US unemployment go in 2026?10.0%1.9%▲0.1pp5.0%4.9%5.5%2.4%Vol $563.2K