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W

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes2%No97.9%Vol $40.9K

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Will Hezbollah disarm by...?December 317%▼1.5ppVol $4,402

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Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?December 31, 202612.5%▲0.5ppVol $4,227

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US strike on Mexico by...?December 313.3%▲0.1ppVol $717

C

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes3.7%No96.3%Vol $386

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Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?South Korea11.5%▼0.5pp Israel6.5%▼0.5pp North Korea6.5%Vol $284

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Will US withdraw from NATO by...?December 311.6%▼0.5ppVol $206

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NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes4.8%▼0.2ppNo95.2%2 holdingVol $157

I

Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes4.8%▲0.1ppNo95.1%Vol $132

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How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?856.6%▼1.6pp 932.5%▼0.4pp 109.1%▼0.9ppVol $128

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Will Trump visit Greenland by...?December 318.5%Vol $53

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Ukraine election held by...?December 31, 20263.3%▼0.1ppVol $17