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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
所有盘口
24h 热门
总成交量
流动性
最新
即将截止
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
5
0.3%
1
69.5%
3
2%
$4.7k Vol
12月31日 截止
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑4k
80.5%
↑3k
93.5%
↑10k
5.7%
$1.3k Vol
12月31日 截止
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
0.7%
市场概率
$1.1k Vol
12月31日 截止
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
3
96.4%
2
0%
4
3.4%
$934 Vol
8月17日 截止
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
<425mm
35%
700mm+
26.5%
475-500mm
18.7%
$651 Vol
9月1日 截止
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
1.42–1.45ºC
31%
1.34–1.37ºC
15.5%
1.38–1.41ºC
33.5%
$542 Vol
9月1日 截止
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?
<0.1
76%
0.1
14%
>0.1
0.4%
$313 Vol
8月21日 截止
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
6.6%
市场概率
$308 Vol
12月31日 截止
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
8–10
0.5%
17–19
37%
11–13
9.5%
$283 Vol
12月31日 截止
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
0
42.5%
5
1.6%
1
35%
$234 Vol
8月24日 截止
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
2750+
73%
2650+
96%
2700+
88.5%
$159 Vol
8月31日 截止
Natural Disaster in 2026?
22.5%
市场概率
$117 Vol
12月31日 截止
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
140-169
8%
40–59
9.5%
60-79
31%
$103 Vol
9月1日 截止
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6.6%
市场概率
$61 Vol
12月31日 截止
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
>1.29ºC
96.1%
<1.10ºC
0%
1.15–1.19ºC
0%
$20 Vol
9月1日 截止
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
6.3%
市场概率
$16 Vol
3月31日 截止
Precipitation in NYC in August?
<2"
4.3%
4-5"
39.5%
>6"
39.5%
$16 Vol
9月1日 截止
Precipitation in Seoul in August?
500mm+
38.5%
200-250mm
42%
<150mm
43.5%
$10 Vol
9月1日 截止
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1
19%
2
3.5%
0
58.5%
$7 Vol
3月31日 截止
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
5%
市场概率
$647 Vol
12月31日 截止
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest
3%
1st hottest
96.5%
3rd hottest
1.8%
$1.1k Vol
9月1日 截止
Precipitation in Seattle in August?
1.5-2"
34.5%
2.5-3"
26%
0.5-1"
40.5%
$5 Vol
9月1日 截止
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
12%
市场概率
$139.3k Vol
12月31日 截止
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
15,000+
99.1%
10,000+
100%
20,000+
46.5%
$7.1k Vol
8月31日 截止
展示更多盘口
2
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
50.5%
3
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
50.5%
4
Solana Up or Down - August 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
50.5%
5
ZCash Up or Down - August 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
50%
6
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
50.5%