跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?December 3119.5%October 318.5%June 300%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?August 312.7%December 3121.5%October 318.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?August 312.1%December 3126.5%October 3110%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?No meeting by December 3161.5%South Korea0.1%Japan0.1%
Trump meets with Putin by...?December 3137.5%September 304.7%June 300%
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?December 316.5%September 307.6%June 300%
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Kazakhstan0.5%Russia0.2%Turkey1.1%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?December 31, 20267.5%August 31, 20260.7%
Russia nuclear test by...?December 31, 20266%September 30, 20262%June 30, 20260%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?December 31, 20263.2%June 30, 20260%December 31, 20250%
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?December 312.9%April 300%June 300%
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? 8.5%市场概率
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?6%市场概率
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?5.5%市场概率
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?5.5%市场概率
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? 9%市场概率SPY Opens Up or Down on August 17?
50%