跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Largest Company end of August?Tesla0%Broadcom0%Saudi Aramco0%Largest Company end of September?Amazon0.1%Apple7%SpaceX0%Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA75.5%Amazon0.1%Tesla0.1%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?DJI26%YMTC38.5%CATL54%
GPT-6 released by…?September 30, 202630.5%August 21, 20262.1%August 31, 20266%Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Xiaomi30%DeepSeek21.5%ByteDance22%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14August 3111.5%Chopsticks catch Starship?21.5%September 3093.5%3rd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet80.5%Microsoft3.5%NVIDIA1%2nd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet17.5%Apple81.5%NVIDIA1.4%2nd Largest Company end of September?Alphabet38%Amazon0.1%NVIDIA7.5%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?September 30, 20266.7%June 30, 202731.5%February 28, 202722.5%
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?None by June 30, 202724.5%Netflix0.6%Paramount72%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?PayPal48.5%Nebius Group5.1%MGM Resorts37.5%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?93%市场概率
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?$ANT8.8%$ANTH55.5%Ticker C—%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?September 3045%August 3115.2%July 310%
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?#334.5%#10100%#19%
Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?$600-$700B12%$800-$900B33.5%$1.10T+6.4%
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?↑ 153026.5%↑ 17003.1%↑ 1510100%
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?11-138.6%5-729.6%8-1061.5%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?82.5%市场概率
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?66.5%市场概率
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?TikTok Pro - Events22.5%App B50%App D50%
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?Chicago, IL40.5%Las Vegas, NV85%Sacramento, CA52.5%