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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
所有盘口
24h 热门
总成交量
流动性
最新
即将截止
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Z.ai
0.8%
Anthropic
69.5%
Alibaba
0.9%
$23.5k Vol
12月31日 截止
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
August 31
7.5%
September 30
74%
September 15
47%
$6.5k Vol
9月30日 截止
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Anthropic
12%
None in 2026
81%
Alibaba
0.6%
$1.3k Vol
12月31日 截止
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
$ANT
8.8%
$ANTH
55.5%
Ticker H
—%
$992 Vol
12月31日 截止
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
<5
1.1%
14+
5.6%
5-7
14.4%
$893 Vol
8月31日 截止
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
82.5%
市场概率
$606 Vol
12月31日 截止
Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 31
98.4%
October 31
86%
August 31
6%
$209 Vol
12月31日 截止
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?
August 15
5%
August 31
55%
$196 Vol
8月31日 截止
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
21.5%
市场概率
$16 Vol
12月31日 截止
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
20.5%
市场概率
$7 Vol
12月31日 截止
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?
August 31
12.5%
October 31
53%
December 31
78.5%
$3.9k Vol
12月31日 截止
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
3.3%
市场概率
$3.2k Vol
12月31日 截止
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
October 31
59%
December 31
60.5%
August 31
5.5%
$6k Vol
12月31日 截止
Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?
August 16
38.5%
August 31
44.5%
July 31
0%
$46.1k Vol
7月31日 截止
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
6%
市场概率
$434 Vol
12月31日 截止
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
2.2%
市场概率
$29k Vol
12月31日 截止
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
12.5%
市场概率
$37.5k Vol
12月31日 截止
2
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
50%
3
XRP Up or Down - August 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
50.5%
4
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
50%
5
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
50.5%
6
ZCash Up or Down - August 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
50%