所有盘口
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?50.3%169%32%$5.9k Vol12月31日 截止
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?0.6%市场概率$1.5k Vol12月31日 截止How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?20%392%44.4%$881 Vol8月17日 截止
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?<425mm36%475-500mm18.7%700mm+23.5%$611 Vol9月1日 截止
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑4k77.5%↑10k5.7%↑3k94%$583 Vol12月31日 截止
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)1.42–1.45ºC31.5%1.34–1.37ºC19%<1.30ºC5.5%$463 Vol9月1日 截止
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?<0.175%0.114.5%>0.10.4%$313 Vol8月21日 截止
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?6.5%市场概率$308 Vol12月31日 截止How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?8–100.5%17–1937.5%11–139.5%$283 Vol12月31日 截止How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?042%51.1%134.5%$234 Vol8月24日 截止Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?2700+89.5%2750+66%2650+96.2%$103 Vol8月31日 截止
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?140-1699%40–599.5%60-7931%$82 Vol9月1日 截止9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?6.8%市场概率$61 Vol12月31日 截止
Natural Disaster in 2026?21.5%市场概率$27 Vol12月31日 截止August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)>1.29ºC96.3%1.20–1.24ºC0.6%1.15–1.19ºC0%$20 Vol9月1日 截止
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?6.3%市场概率$16 Vol3月31日 截止
Precipitation in NYC in August?<2"4.1%4-5"39.5%>6"39.5%$16 Vol9月1日 截止
Precipitation in Seoul in August?500mm+38.5%<150mm44%250-300mm41%$10 Vol9月1日 截止How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?118%5+0.9%30.9%$7 Vol3月31日 截止Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?97.1%市场概率$646 Vol10月1日 截止
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?20,000+46.5%10,000+100%15,000+99.1%$7.1k Vol8月31日 截止How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?1250+85.5%1200–12497.8%1050–10990.4%$81.7k Vol1月10日 截止
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?5%市场概率$647 Vol12月31日 截止
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?12%市场概率$139.3k Vol12月31日 截止
