跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 314.5%September 302%March 310%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14September 1567%August 3111%Chopsticks catch Starship?21.5%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?50.3%169.5%32%
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?December 31, 20264%December 31, 202768%June 30, 202754%
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?October 31, 20269%December 31, 202622%
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?9%市场概率
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?140-15944.7%120-1394.8%100-1191.4%
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?December 31, 20266.5%December 31, 202836%December 31, 202734.5%
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?December 31, 202719.5%December 31, 20265.5%
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?October 31, 202660.5%August 31, 202650%September 30, 202651%
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?97.1%市场概率
Human moon landing in 2026?0.8%市场概率Counter-Strike: STATE vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
Match Winner
65.5%