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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
所有盘口
24h 热门
总成交量
流动性
最新
即将截止
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Z.ai
0.8%
Anthropic
67.5%
xAI
8.7%
$17.5k Vol
12月31日 截止
GPT-6 released by…?
September 30, 2026
28.5%
August 21, 2026
2.1%
August 31, 2026
6%
$12k Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
August 31
17.5%
September 15
54%
September 30
74%
$7.5k Vol
10月31日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1490+
26.5%
1500+
9%
1480+
69%
$6.3k Vol
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 31
34%
September 30
53%
$3k Vol
9月30日 截止
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+
26.5%
55%+
51%
50%+
84.5%
$1.9k Vol
12月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?
August 31
8%
October 31
45.5%
$391 Vol
10月31日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
40%+
86.5%
50%+
42.5%
60%+
15.5%
$302 Vol
12月31日 截止
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
<3
76%
4
9%
5
3.1%
$300 Vol
8月31日 截止
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
6.5%
Phone
3.4%
Computer (Laptop/Desktop)
1.4%
$174 Vol
12月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?
August 31
6.5%
October 31
37%
$100 Vol
10月31日 截止
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
7.5%
市场概率
$51 Vol
12月31日 截止
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Anthropic
12.5%
Company S
—%
Company X
—%
$50 Vol
12月31日 截止
ChatGPT Outage by....?
August 31
79.5%
August 22
37.5%
$43 Vol
8月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
October 31
54.5%
August 31
9.5%
$41 Vol
10月31日 截止
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
11%
October 31, 2026
7.5%
December 31, 2025
0%
$25 Vol
12月31日 截止
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
21.5%
市场概率
$16 Vol
12月31日 截止
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?
18.5%
市场概率
$10 Vol
8月31日 截止
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?
$OAI
63%
Ticker A
—%
Ticker H
—%
$6 Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
9%
市场概率
$1 Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
24.5%
市场概率
$760 Vol
12月31日 截止
Which week will OpenAI release Astra?
Before August 31
37.5%
Not released by November 1
26.5%
October 19–25
37.5%
11月1日 截止
50%
2
Bitcoin above ___ on August 16, 2PM ET?
64,600
50%
3
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
50.5%
4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
50.5%
5
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
50.5%
6
ZCash Up or Down - August 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
50%