所有盘口
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?August 3114.5%August 150%August 226.5%$620.3k Vol8月31日 截止
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?August 311.1%August 150%$509k Vol8月31日 截止
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Russia0%Kazakhstan0%Iran0%$225.8k Vol9月30日 截止
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?August 152%July 240%June 260%$218.4k Vol7月31日 截止Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?11.5%市场概率$133.3k Vol9月30日 截止
Iran leadership change by...?December 3116.5%September 304.5%August 311.2%$104.7k Vol12月31日 截止
Israel closes its airspace by...?August 313%August 150%June 130%$74k Vol5月31日 截止Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?August 319.5%August 150%September 3032%$63.9k Vol7月31日 截止
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?August 311.9%September 3010%December 3117%$52.6k Vol6月30日 截止
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?October 3115.5%December 3121.5%August 310.9%$50.3k Vol12月31日 截止
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Kazem Gharibabadi19.5%Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani54%J.D. Vance49.5%$50k Vol12月31日 截止
Iran leader end of 2026?Mojtaba Khamenei82.2%Hassan Rouhani0.7%Mahmoud Ahmadinejad1.6%$48.5k Vol12月31日 截止
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?9.5%市场概率$47.6k Vol8月20日 截止Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?43.5%市场概率$31.7k Vol12月31日 截止
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16.5%市场概率$17.7k Vol12月31日 截止
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Iran Reconstruction Funding21.5%1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium11.5%Dilution of Iran's Uranium13.5%$14.9k Vol12月31日 截止Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?4.5%市场概率$10.8k Vol9月15日 截止
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?6.5%市场概率$9.2k Vol12月31日 截止
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?120.2%130.1%71.2%$5.5k Vol12月31日 截止
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?December 3135.5%August 317.5%July 310%$5.1k Vol8月31日 截止Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?20.5%市场概率$5k Vol10月31日 截止Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?1.7%市场概率$4.3k Vol9月30日 截止
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?August 316.5%June 300%July 310%$3.6k Vol7月31日 截止
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?20.5%市场概率$3.4k Vol12月31日 截止
