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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)85.1%1 (25 bps)10.5%11 (275 bps)0.1%$70.5k Vol12月31日 截止Largest Company end of September?Amazon0.2%NVIDIA92.5%Apple5%$51.2k Vol9月30日 截止Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA75.5%Amazon0.1%Tesla0.1%$42.5k Vol12月31日 截止Largest Company end of August?Alphabet0.7%Amazon0.1%Microsoft0%$33.4k Vol8月31日 截止3rd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet81.5%Apple15.5%Microsoft4.8%$3.7k Vol8月31日 截止2nd Largest Company end of September?Alphabet34.5%Amazon0.1%NVIDIA7.5%$3k Vol9月30日 截止2nd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet17.5%Apple80.5%NVIDIA1.5%$2.4k Vol8月31日 截止Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?7.5%市场概率$1.2k Vol12月31日 截止Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?61.5%市场概率$926 Vol12月31日 截止NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?14%市场概率$254 Vol12月31日 截止US recession by end of 2027?30.5%市场概率$251 Vol12月31日 截止US recession by end of 2026?7.5%市场概率$143 Vol12月31日 截止Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?34.2%市场概率$89 Vol12月31日 截止How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?3.5%2%2.0%1.7%1.0%1.6%$87 Vol12月31日 截止3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Alphabet44%Company S50%Company N50%$80 Vol12月31日 截止2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?Apple36.5%NVIDIA13%Alphabet36.5%$56 Vol12月31日 截止Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Dan Clancy - Twitch7.4%Sam Altman - OpenAI8%Andy Jassy - Amazon8.3%$2 Vol12月31日 截止SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?18.5%市场概率$1 Vol12月31日 截止3rd Largest Company end of September?Company Q50%Company C50%Company G50%$49.4k Vol9月30日 截止Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?December 3147.5%Yes0%$732 Vol7月31日 截止Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Wells Fargo2.4%UBS1.3%Truist3.6%$70.5k Vol12月31日 截止US bank failure by December 31, 2026?69.5%市场概率$5k Vol1月1日 截止Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?7.5%市场概率$15.9k Vol12月31日 截止Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?State Bank of India7.5%Bharti Airtel Ltd5.6%HDFC Bank Ltd5%$12.9k Vol12月31日 截止

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