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Largest Company end of August?Tesla0%Broadcom0%Saudi Aramco0%$101.9k Vol8月31日 截止How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)85.2%6 (150 bps)0.1%11 (275 bps)0.1%$51k Vol12月31日 截止Largest Company end of September?Amazon0.1%Apple7%SpaceX0%$39.5k Vol9月30日 截止Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA75.5%Amazon0.1%Tesla0.1%$34.7k Vol12月31日 截止3rd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet80.5%Microsoft3%NVIDIA1%$3k Vol8月31日 截止2nd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet17%Apple81.5%NVIDIA1.4%$2.4k Vol8月31日 截止2nd Largest Company end of September?Alphabet37.5%Amazon0.1%NVIDIA7.5%$2.1k Vol9月30日 截止Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?8%市场概率$2k Vol12月31日 截止Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?66.5%市场概率$385 Vol12月31日 截止NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?14%市场概率$254 Vol12月31日 截止Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?35.5%市场概率$252 Vol12月31日 截止US recession by end of 2027?31%市场概率$249 Vol12月31日 截止US recession by end of 2026?7.5%市场概率$161 Vol12月31日 截止3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Alphabet44%Company T50%Company K50%$80 Vol12月31日 截止How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?3.5%4.3%2.0%1.7%3.9%11.9%$42 Vol12月31日 截止Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?Hindustan Unilever Ltd6.5%Larsen & Toubro Ltd7.9%Maruti Suzuki India Ltd0.5%$16 Vol12月31日 截止Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?6.5%市场概率$11 Vol12月31日 截止Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Dan Clancy - Twitch7.4%Brian Armstrong - Coinbase2.6%Sam Altman - OpenAI8%$2 Vol12月31日 截止SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?18.5%市场概率$1 Vol12月31日 截止3rd Largest Company end of September?NVIDIA3.7%Company Q50%Company P50%$1 Vol9月30日 截止Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?June 30, 202752%December 31, 202752.5%December 31, 202624%$606 Vol12月31日 截止US bank failure by December 31, 2026?69.5%市场概率$5k Vol1月1日 截止Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Scotiabank2.3%UBS1.3%JPMorgan Chase1.9%$70.5k Vol12月31日 截止Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?December 3145.5%Yes0%$732 Vol7月31日 截止

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