跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
Largest Company end of August?Tesla0%Broadcom0%Saudi Aramco0%
OpenAI IPO by...?August 31, 20260.2%December 31, 202620.5%September 30, 20261.8%Largest Company end of September?Amazon0.1%Apple7%SpaceX0%Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA75.5%Amazon0.1%Tesla0.1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceX60.5%Anthropic38.2%OpenAI0.2%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+42.8%No IPO by December 31, 20279.2%<500B1.1%
IPOs before 2027?SHEIN98.8%Anthropic79.5%OpenAI20.5%3rd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet80.5%Microsoft3.5%NVIDIA1%2nd Largest Company end of August?Alphabet17.5%Apple81.5%NVIDIA1.4%2nd Largest Company end of September?Alphabet38%Amazon0.1%NVIDIA7.5%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?PayPal48.5%Nebius Group5.1%MGM Resorts37.5%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?September 3045%July 310%June 300%
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?JPMorgan4.7%Bank E—%Bank D—%
JIO Platforms IPO by...?September 3033%December 3135%August 318.2%
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?66.5%市场概率
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Earbuds/Headphones6.5%Phone3.6%Computer (Laptop/Desktop)1.4%OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.4T44.5%$1.2T60.5%$1.6T40%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?29.5%市场概率Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?36%市场概率3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Alphabet44%Other50%Company A50%
Bloomberg IPO by...?December 31, 202616.8%June 30, 202738%December 31, 202746.5%
AI bubble burst by...?December 31, 202614.2%March 31, 20260%December 31, 20250%
Deepseek IPO by...?December 31, 202766%September 30, 202764%December 31, 20268%
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?5.5%市场概率