跳到主要内容Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘｜1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket所有盘口
OpenAI IPO by...?August 31, 20260.2%December 31, 202620.5%September 30, 20262%
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?$2.5T+6.3%$1.75T–$2.0T20.5%$1.25T–$1.5T20%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Anthropic35.6%SpaceX64%OpenAI0.2%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+40.4%No IPO by December 31, 20279%<500B0.9%
GPT-6 released by…?September 30, 202631%August 21, 20262.1%August 31, 20266%OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO by December 31, 202680.5%1.5T+3.8%750B–1T4.9%
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?93%市场概率
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Anthropic12%None in 202680.5%Alibaba0.6%Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?↓$750B27.5%↑$2.0T10.5%↑$1.75T13%OpenAI’s valuation end of August 2026?$900B-$1.00T37%$800-$900B62.5%<$600B1.7%OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?$800-$900B43.5%$1.00-$1.10T3.4%<$600B22.2%
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?Earbuds/Headphones6.5%Computer (Laptop/Desktop)1.4%Tablet2.9%
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?7.5%市场概率OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.4T44.5%$800B89%$1T76%
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?21.5%市场概率
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?October 31, 20267.5%December 31, 202611%March 31, 20260%What will OpenAI's public ticker be?$OAI62%Ticker C—%Ticker G—%
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?8.5%市场概率
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?94%市场概率
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?63.3%市场概率How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?$80B–$90B18.9%$70B–$80B5.6%<$30B36.7%
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?32.5%市场概率
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?23%市场概率Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Bank B—%Bank D—%Bank H—%50%
