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Fathom · 杠杆预测市场模拟盘|1–10× 杠杆 · 实时镜像 Polymarket
所有盘口
24h 热门
总成交量
流动性
最新
即将截止
OpenAI IPO by...?
August 31, 2026
0.2%
December 31, 2026
20.5%
September 30, 2026
1.9%
$64.6k Vol
12月31日 截止
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Z.ai
0.8%
Anthropic
69%
xAI
8.3%
$24.4k Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+
40.4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
9.1%
<500B
0.9%
$14.3k Vol
12月31日 截止
GPT-6 released by…?
September 30, 2026
31%
August 21, 2026
2.1%
August 31, 2026
6%
$7.8k Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
September 15
54.5%
September 30
73.9%
August 31
18%
$6.8k Vol
10月31日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
1490+
26.5%
1500+
11.5%
1480+
69.5%
$6.7k Vol
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?
August 31
37.5%
September 30
53.5%
$3.4k Vol
9月30日 截止
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
93%
市场概率
$1.4k Vol
1月1日 截止
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Anthropic
12.5%
None in 2026
80.5%
xAI
0.8%
$1.3k Vol
12月31日 截止
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↓$750B
26.5%
↑$2.0T
10.5%
↑$1.75T
13%
$1.1k Vol
1月1日 截止
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+
56%
50%+
82.5%
60%+
26.5%
$642 Vol
12月31日 截止
OpenAI’s valuation end of August 2026?
$900B-$1.00T
37%
$800-$900B
62.5%
$1.10-$1.20T
0.5%
$594 Vol
8月31日 截止
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
40%+
87.5%
50%+
43.5%
60%+
13.5%
$306 Vol
12月31日 截止
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
<3
75.5%
6+
4.6%
5
9.4%
$300 Vol
8月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?
August 31
8%
October 31
45.5%
$283 Vol
10月31日 截止
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?
$800-$900B
43.5%
<$600B
22.8%
$1.10-$1.20T
5.1%
$245 Vol
9月30日 截止
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
89.5%
市场概率
$205 Vol
12月31日 截止
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
6.5%
Computer (Laptop/Desktop)
1.4%
Glasses
10.5%
$143 Vol
12月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?
October 31
37%
August 31
4.5%
$100 Vol
10月31日 截止
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
7.5%
市场概率
$51 Vol
12月31日 截止
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
October 31
54.5%
August 31
9.5%
$41 Vol
10月31日 截止
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1.4T
44.5%
$800B
89%
$1.2T
60.5%
$20 Vol
12月31日 截止
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
21.5%
市场概率
$16 Vol
12月31日 截止
ChatGPT Outage by....?
August 22
38%
August 31
79%
$7 Vol
8月31日 截止
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